Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 9.332878 10.296513 11.327263 12.513550 13.843281 15.290219 16.987107
2025-10-05 7.948227 9.307809 10.863776 12.783743 15.099392 17.814853 21.258869
2025-10-12 6.951806 8.559661 10.508234 13.061367 16.344488 20.459408 26.062417
2025-10-19 6.094534 7.829270 10.036684 13.082791 17.225915 22.735010 30.733355
2025-10-26 5.371749 7.155914 9.523594 12.941794 17.826933 24.675121 35.213427
2025-11-02 4.781255 6.574156 9.042632 12.751795 18.292973 26.441608 39.669479
2025-11-09 4.290834 6.067223 8.594211 12.529896 18.650060 28.052763 44.090833
2025-11-16 3.899530 5.655337 8.228357 12.369635 19.052841 29.748913 48.866523
2025-11-23 3.589007 5.327894 7.947129 12.293989 19.557879 31.642916 54.234223
2025-11-30 3.401609 5.166490 7.897723 12.570215 20.654969 34.641629 62.010563
2025-12-07 3.158996 4.894255 7.643687 12.474404 21.094402 36.535911 68.022578
2025-12-14 2.907231 4.584396 7.298198 12.181708 21.141668 37.709210 72.794852
2025-12-21 2.709560 4.351135 7.065682 12.073558 21.533152 39.619315 79.495577
2025-12-28 2.618140 4.288015 7.115330 12.475099 22.929324 43.673139 91.523221
2026-01-04 2.524676 4.212902 7.136190 12.824096 24.266649 47.805796 104.569022
2026-01-11 2.396267 4.065550 7.014469 12.887806 25.037750 50.866254 115.744379
2026-01-18 2.254536 3.882902 6.812195 12.771925 25.420061 53.135147 125.451255
2026-01-25 2.117985 3.699112 6.592079 12.596778 25.652177 55.096605 134.781743
2026-02-01 1.988908 3.519557 6.365189 12.384275 25.774912 56.819405 143.844464
2026-02-08 1.877764 3.365669 6.175293 12.229482 26.006912 58.834517 154.159508
2026-02-15 1.784968 3.240156 6.030867 12.156598 26.417177 61.347321 166.480952
2026-02-22 1.736409 3.196666 6.045747 12.430294 27.677813 66.210630 187.034846
2026-03-01 1.653371 3.079411 5.901743 12.336218 28.035013 68.766528 201.009372